And I'm not just talking about the latest poll. While Monday's poll does bolster my arguments it doesn't change anything. Even if National and Labour's fortunes were reversed, the right still wouldn't have a path to victory. Allow me to explain.
The latest poll provides some interesting insights into just what is going on in the political arena. While polls at this stage don't translate into actual results, they do show us just what is working and what isn't.
The budget news is largely uninteresting: a few key promises have been delayed, funding for all kinds of the usual things are up, and unlike most of National's budgets, this one at least appears to be balanced. There is one funny bit though.